Win Probability Swing: +8.23% | Win Probability After: 71.83%

The odds would seem high that you'll see more than one play from the Patriots' game-winning drive in overtime in a list of the most impactful plays. Chris Hogan was the first to really spike the needle, moving the ball into Falcons territory.

When the Patriots received the opening kickoff of overtime, their win odds were at 58.29%. They moved it to their own 45 on a 14-yard reception by Danny Amendola, and those odds were all the way up to 63.59%. Then it was Hogan's turn to go to work.

Hogan had just seven targets in the game, but this was easily his biggest as an 18-yard reception brought the Patriots down to Atlanta's 37-yard line. It put New England in a reasonable range for at least a Stephen Gostkowski field goal if they couldn't keep moving. As you'll see later, that wasn't necessary.