Positional ADP: WR14 | Projected Finish: WR19

Terrelle Pryor was a great story last year, and he now finds himself playing with a better quarterback. I'll still pass.

Our Barry Cohen does a nice job of explaining why we should temper our expectations for Pryor this year. It's a good read, so check it out. Here's the money quote.

During Gruden's first three seasons as the head coach in Washington, no player has seen more than 20.54% of the team's targets in a season, and the only player to even reach the 20% mark is Jordan Reed. So despite the openings on the outside, Pryor can expect to play a lesser role than he did in Cleveland last year, when he received 24.69% of the team's total targets.

Both Jordan Reed (89) and Jamison Crowder (99) came close to 100 targets last year. It's even been suggested that Crowder -- not Pryor -- will lead the team in targets. I don't know if I'm willing to go that far, but Pryor looks unlikely to capture the same amount of work as he did in Cleveland.

Instead Try

Doug Baldwin -- a high-end value -- is available just a few picks earlier than Pryor. If you can get him, he's got a top-10 projection and less competition for targets.