Andrew Luck has finished as the QB10 (as a rookie), QB4, QB2, and QB4 in his four seasons with at least 15 games played. His ADP, according to FantasyFootballCalculator, puts him at QB5 at the 12th pick of the 6th round. Seems like a bit of a bargain, right?

Well, one of the most underreported stories of the offseason seems to center on Luck's inability to throw footballs. He apparently can throw a tennis ball, though. Seems good.

I'm not just trying to be dismissive, here. The whole case for taking a quarterback that early in your draft is perceived, week-to-week safety.

Luck doesn't provide that. Sure, he might be able to come off the physically unable to perform list by Week 1, but you could be burning a sixth- or seventh-round pick on a quarterback who may be a little less hesitant to run, given the state of his shoulder injury.

Just know that Luck, in his four seasons with at least 15 games played, has had a big rushing workload.

With Luck, the asking price is high, the injury concerns are real, and the schedule isn't overly promising. Uncertainty abounds with Luck, who has graded out as an above-average passer by our metrics just twice in his five NFL seasons, and the draft-price discount isn't there just yet.