Average Draft Position: 9.04 (WR42)
Let's peep Tyrell Williams' ADP graph from Fantasy Football Calculator and see if you can spot when the news broke that Mike Williams was dealing with a serious back injury.
As the reports of Mike Williams' back injury kept getting worse and worse -- with the team now saying their first-round pick will be out until at least October -- Tyrell Williams' ADP kept climbing, eventually leveling off in the early part of the ninth round.
While Mike Williams is expected to return this season, Tyrell could be more than early-season duct tape. For one, there's no guarantee Mike Williams' back is good to go in October, as the newest reports say. And two, the Los Angeles Chargers' other top wideout, Keenan Allen, hasn't been a model of health.
There's also this not-so-small thing about Tyrell balling out last year and possibly being really darn good in his own right.
Among wideouts with at least 80 targets in 2016, Tyrell ranked 14th in Reception NEP per target with a clip of 0.77 (reminder: the league-average mark for receivers last year was 0.66). He ended the season with five standard-league WR2 (top-24) weeks.
While Tyrell isn't likely to lead the team in market share like he did a year ago, when he saw 21.14% of the Bolts' looks, that's baked into his cost. But Allen or Mike Williams failing to stay healthy isn't completely out of the question, either, and even if Mike comes back in October, there's no guarantee he immediately jumps Tyrell on the depth chart.
Tyrell showed last year he can produce when given meaningful volume, and there are a lot of paths to volume for him in 2017.