Cincinnati Bengals running back Giovani Bernard's ADP has fallen by two full rounds in PPR leagues this summer. He hasn't suffered an injury or gotten suspended -- he's practicing and should be ready for Week 1.
So why the drop? Joe Mixon fever. Mixon has looked good, but don't be fooled: that's not enough of a reason to fade Bernard.
For starters, Bernard owns one of the richest running back contracts in the league, so Cincinnati will be hard-pressed to keep him off the field. But even beyond politics, since 2013, Bernard has a higher Reception NEP per target than Le'Veon Bell and Darren Sproles. He's a gifted receiver with a great reputation as a pass protector. He should maintain a big role in the passing game.
Bernard has averaged 13.1 PPR points per game in his career. Since 2000, only 21 of 40 second-round running backs have averaged more than half that amount. Just 10 have averaged more than 13 points per game. Odds are against Mixon being an immediate three-down stud. There should be plenty of work left for Bernard. (And, despite coming off an injury, Bernard has a lower risk of injury than Mixon. Bernard benefits if Mixon misses time.)
Bernard should easily outperform his draft position despite the presence of Mixon. —Charlie Kleinheksel