Over/Under: 41.5
Seahawks Implied Team Total: 27.25
Colts Implied Team Total: 14.25
The Seattle Seahawks offense finally clicked in their last game by putting up 27 points against the Tennessee Titans. They'll look to keep things rolling in a home matchup against the Indianapolis Colts, who have allowed 30 points per game, the second-most in the league. This is another spot where a full team onslaught stack is in play in tournaments.
Chris Carson, RB, Seattle Seahawks
FanDuel Price: $6,600
Chris Carson and C.J. Prosise have proven to be Seattle's preferred early-down and third-down backs at this point -- they've accounted for a combined 86.8% of snaps, highlighted by 68 of 70 running back snaps last week. Prosise's 29.4% snap rate will be unaccounted for this week, which could result in Carson completely dominating the playing time for Seattle.
So, with little competition for touches and the Seahawks expected to be playing with a lead, the workload should certainly be there. How is the matchup, though? Last week, Indy surrendered 158 scrimmage yards and a score to Duke Johnson and Isaiah Crowell. The week prior, Chris Johnson looked like a somewhat competent running back, averaging four yards per carry. In Week 1, Rams running backs put up 113 yards and 2 scores.
Carson checks all the boxes this week and is only the 11th-most expensive back on the slate. He is a strong play in all formats.
Russell Wilson, QB, Seattle Seahawks
FanDuel Price: $7,900
Russell Wilson found his groove in Week 3, throwing for 373 yards and 4 touchdowns. He has also shown a willingness to run, trailing only Tyrod Taylor with 21 carries through three games. With a 27.25-point implied team total, his upside is through the roof against this Indianapolis defense.
There are a few different things working in Wilson's favor from a game script perspective. First off, he has averaged 272 passing yards and 1.8 touchdowns in home games since 2015, as opposed to 246 and 1.6 on the road. When Seattle is at least a double-digit favorite, he has seen a spike in touchdown passes, averaging 2.2 as opposed to 1.5 in other games.
In 10 games they have actually won by 13 points, he has averaged a full touchdown more (up from 1.4 to 2.4). It would not be surprising at all to see him post another three-touchdown week.
Others to Consider
Doug Baldwin ($7,600) dominated the target market share from Wilson last week, but ultimately left the game with a groin injury. Seattle says they're expecting Baldwin to play, but he has yet to practice. If he were forced to sit, both Tyler Lockett ($5,700) and Paul Richardson ($5,000) would become very strong value plays. Richardson has caught a touchdown in consecutive contests and leads Lockett in targets, so he is the stronger play at a discounted price tag. Both are viable, though.
If you really want to go off the wall and make a cheap game stack out of this one, you can pair Jacoby Brissett ($6,700) with Carson and one or two Seattle pass catchers. Brissett showed the ability to be a viable fantasy asset last week, scoring 27.76 FanDuel points against the Cleveland Browns. Yes, it was the Browns, but that type of upside is always worth a look at such a cheap price tag.
Marcus Mariota had his best performance of the season against Seattle and Aaron Rodgers topped 300 yards against them in Week 1. Brissett is nowhere near the talent of either, but Seattle's defense also may not be quite as invincible as we thought. With the Colts expected to be playing from behind, Brissett could near the 37 pass attempts he reached in Week 2, which would make him an intriguing tournament dart throw at near-minimum price.