There's only one game on the main slate with an over/under higher than 47, and that's this one, sitting all the way up at 52. You're going to want slices of both sides.
While you could definitely get some Aaron Jones action at $5,900 if both Ty Montgomery and Jamaal Williams were to miss, we do have one certainty here. The Packers' passing offense -- no matter how many injuries may come its way -- always seems to pull through.
Even though tackles David Bakhtiari, Bryan Bulaga, Kyle Murphy, and Jason Spriggs (along with swingman Don Barclay) have all missed time, the Packers still have the league's fifth-best schedule-adjusted passing offense. That's while losing more expected points due to sacks than every team in the league except for the Houston Texans. That Aaron Rodgers guy? He's pretty freaking good.
And those injuries aren't necessarily a constant state. Things appear to be on the upswing.
McCarthy: Bryan Bulaga & David Bakhtiari are getting better. The mini bye week helped everybody.
— Green Bay Packers (@packers) October 4, 2017
Head coach Mike McCarthy didn't say definitively whether either would play, but both were able to practice on Wednesday. They've been passable without them; they could be lethal upon their return.
McCarthy also expressed optimism about wide receiver Davante Adams, who is still in concussion protocol after a vicious hit last week. Adams has a chance to play thanks to the extended layoff between games, which would further bolster the offense.
The Packers seem to be getting healthier for a game in which they'll face the league's 16th-ranked passing defense. The Cowboys have allowed eight passing touchdowns over the past three games while facing Trevor Siemian, Carson Palmer, and Jared Goff. That seems sub-optimal when one of the best quarterbacks of all time is next up on the docket.
Rodgers has been a tremendous fantasy asset this season, racking up either 300 yards or 4 touchdowns in each game. He's $9,500 on FanDuel, but that should put a cap on his ownership, and it's something we can afford with all of the potential value available. We can't cross him off our lists just because his salary is high.
The Packers can also help you a bit in the value department with Randall Cobb down at $6,600. In the three games he has played, Cobb's target market share is at 22.03%. He also has 20.00% of the deep targets and 23.08% of the red-zone looks in those games. When those are tied to a quarterback as good as Rodgers, there's plenty of incentive to invest at such a reasonable price.
If you're not using Rodgers and have some extra cash to spend, then Jordy Nelson needs to be on your list, too. He has at least seven targets in each of his healthy games, with five targets 16-plus yards downfield on top of five red-zone chances. Nelson's certainly not cheap at $8,600, but he's worth it where you can afford him.