The Dolphins and Titans both find themselves in the bottom third of the league despite winning four games.
| Rank | Team | nERD | Rec | Playoffs | Off. NEP Rank | Def. NEP Rank | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Indianapolis Colts | -15.36 | 2-5 | 0.20% | 29 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 | San Francisco 49ers | -12.68 | 0-7 | 0.00% | 30 | 31 | -1 |
| 30 | Cleveland Browns | -10.40 | 0-7 | 0.00% | 28 | 26 | +1 |
| 29 | Arizona Cardinals | -7.28 | 3-4 | 3.20% | 31 | 21 | -2 |
| 28 | New York Jets | -6.88 | 3-4 | 1.50% | 20 | 25 | +1 |
| 27 | Miami Dolphins | -4.52 | 4-2 | 18.10% | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 | Oakland Raiders | -4.25 | 3-4 | 4.50% | 14 | 30 | +2 |
| 25 | Tennessee Titans | -3.33 | 4-3 | 31.40% | 18 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 | Baltimore Ravens | -2.89 | 3-4 | 19.50% | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 | Cincinnati Bengals | -2.01 | 2-4 | 9.80% | 23 | 15 | -3 |
Miami being low should not surprise anyone, as they have been outscored by 20 points overall this season. Their wins have come by two, six, three and three points, respectively, while their losses have come by 14 and 20.
Their defense has actually been above-average, ranking 13th in NEP, while Jay Cutler has been an abject disaster for the league’s worst offense.
Despite high expectations, Tennessee has been pretty mediocre on both sides of the ball this season. The offense has had its moments, including a 37-point performance against Jacksonville, but has also struggled (like on Sunday, when it was held to 4.0 yards per play and 12 points against Cleveland).
Their defense has struggled mightily against the pass, ranking 27th in NEP allowed per drop back.
All that said, Tennessee’s playoff odds remain above 30% -- in part because of the four wins they already have in the bank and the relative weakness of their upcoming schedule (which features dates with the Colts, 49ers, Cardinals and Ravens).