Chalk
After a massive 31.48 FanDuel point effort against the Green Bay Packers in Week 15 and a matchup on tap against a Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense that ranks 28th against the pass by our metrics, Cam Newton ($8,300) will be a very popular play. The Panthers have an implied total of 28.25 on Sunday, third-highest on the slate. The points should be flying, and high ownership should no doubt be on tap.
There are no true value plays that should prove as popular as Nick Foles was last week. There likely won't be high ownership in any quarterback priced below $7,600. At that price, Blake Bortles should prove to be relatively popular after four top-10 finishes in a row. Despite his solid play, he only had 5.7% ownership in last week's FanDuel Sunday Million, the eighth-highest owned quarterback on the slate. That number should theoretically rise this week, but with quite a few solid plays above him, he may once again be Rodney Dangerfield. No respect.
Pivots
Dak Prescott, $7,600 (vs. Seattle Seahawks)
Like Bortles, Dak Prescott should be a highly owned player this week, yet I don't think high roster percentages will come to fruition. Ezekiel Elliott is back this week, and that makes all the difference in the world with Dak's production. It's not just a slight difference; it's a cliff. In eight games with Zeke in the lineup, Dak is averaging a robust 22.03 FanDuel points, a number that on its own would place him fourth in points per game among quarterbacks. That average, however, dropped to an astoundingly low 12.89 fantasy points during Zeke's six-game suspension, a more than nine point drop.
People could be scared off of using Dak from the Seattle name, but the Hawks are no longer to be feared. This was on display last week as the Rams tore them apart for 42 points. Most of that damage was, admittedly, done on the ground, but Dak ranks sixth in rushing yards among quarterbacks, and there should be plenty of holes for him to exploit in the passing game as Zeke's running ability forces the Hawks to fruitlessly stack the box. At $7,600, he isn't a value play per se, but offers a nice discount from guys like Newton and his counterpart this week, Russell Wilson.
Drew Stanton, $6,000 (vs. New York Giants)
This is not for the faint of heart, but Drew Stanton is in an excellent position to be fantasy relevant this week. The Cardinals are favorites this week at home with an OK implied total of 21.75 against a New York Giants defense that is giving up 20.39 FanDuel points per game to opposing quarterbacks, worst in the league.
Stanton's name scares people off, and for good reason. In his career, he has a completion percentage of 52.5%, tallying 17 touchdowns and 21 interceptions. However, he's topped 15 points in each of his two starts this season, and his minimum salary will open up much needed cap space to potentially slot in three or four high-end plays at other positions. The matchup couldn't be better, so what are you waiting for? Roster Stanton. I triple dog dare you.