Deshaun Watson might not be the superstar he looked like last year. Despite lighting the NFL on fire for five weeks in 2017, the sophomore quarterback struggled in Week 1 coming off of his late-October ACL tear. These struggles also came against a Patriots defense that surrendered the fourth-most offensive yardage just a season ago. The young quarterback looked lost to start, losing a fumble on a handoff to Lamar Miller on their very first offensive snap of the game.
Regression was bound to hit Watson's ludicrous 9.3% touchdown rate from 2017, but he came crashing back down to Earth in Week 1, posting just 176 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception on the Pats. His hot streak last year came against a series of opponents suffering from intense defensive struggles; four of the five opponents he faced during his hot streak were bottom-half pass defenses. Regression was expected, but the intensity of his struggles were surprising.
Fortunately, Watson produces fantasy points with his feet, meaning that even in a tough passing matchup he's never totally a fantasy dud. While he struggled in Foxborough on Sunday, he still rushed 8 times for 40 yards. That rushing production buoyed his dismal passing day and contributed 36% of his 11 fantasy points.
Even more fortunate for Watson -- and those of us who drafted him in fantasy leagues this year -- the Texans face the second-easiest schedule of pass defenses per Warren Sharp's projections model. In other words, Watson doesn't have to be the unprecedented all-star he was in 2017 in order to continue being a fantasy stud in 2018.
Going forward, we can't trust Watson as a superstar, but we can trust him as a matchup-dependent streaming option on a weekly basis.