Over/Under: 52.00
Giants Implied Team Total: 27.00
Buccaneers Implied Team Total: 25.00
I'm not comfortable with it either, but this is the second-highest total on the slate. Do you trust either of these teams? Yeah, neither do I, and it's for that reason most of these recommendations are limited to tournaments only. Somehow, the sad-sack New York Giants have yet to win at home this season. Meanwhile, the up-and-down Tampa Bay Buccaneers have lost six of seven despite continuing to put points on the board.
Sterling Shepard, WR, New York Giants
FanDuel Price: $6,300
Oddly enough, Sterling Shepard only saw three targets last week, but it seems more like an outlier than a concern. Prior to Week 10, Shepard had seen seven or more targets in seven of eight games this year. He now gets a dream matchup at home against a Buccaneers team that's allowed more points to the slot than any other team. Given his reasonable price, strong target projection and ideal matchup, Shepard is the only borderline cash option outside of Saquon Barkley, who we'll get to shortly.
Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
FanDuel Price: $7,400
Okay, hear me out. I, like many, was high on Mike Evans last week and he totally flopped. It may sound like a broken record, but one of the strongest edges in DFS is betting on players who are productive over large sample sizes to bounce back while the public is simultaneously down on them. I'm going back to the well here with Evans as an extremely-low owned GPP option who should face Janoris Jenkins' shadow coverage. And this year, that's been a good thing.
Others to Consider
Similar to Evans, it makes sense to bet on a better game from Ryan Fitzpatrick ($7,600). Fitz became just the eighth player ever to throw for 400 yards without recording a touchdown last week. On a related note, it came out after the game that Dirk Koetter resumed play-calling duties. Unsurprisingly, the Bucs scored just three points at home. Assuming offensive guru Todd Monken takes back the reigns, Fitzpatrick is a bet-on-situation GPP play with likely low ownership.
I have given up trying to predict which Bucs receiver will pop for a big game. I'd rather bet on a bounce-back for O.J. Howard ($6,300) who flopped in a thin tight end spot last week and should have a better game at reduced ownership.
Someway, somehow, Eli Manning ($6,700) is an option here. His price is cheap, the matchup is about as good as it gets and the Bucs should keep up the pace to force both teams to throw. Eli has actually delivered in four streaming spots this year and has now delivered 280+ yards and/or multiple touchdowns in six of his last seven games. It's not comfortable, but he's a legit GPP option.
Odell Beckham ($8,500) was a candidate for the featured section above but missed it by a hair. Namely due to price and elevated ownership coming off a two-touchdown island game performance. Still, the matchup is nearly perfect and the Buccaneers have nobody close to capable of hanging with Odell.
Running backs are people too, and Saquon Barkley ($8,800) just keeps chugging along despite atrocious line play, a past-his-prime quarterback and detractors around every corner. He's the second-most expensive on the slate though does appear a tad overpriced as the RB5 on the season and the RB4 among those on the main slate. Still, this is a prime spot against a crumbling Tampa defense. Plus, it's worth noting Barkley averages 4.5 receptions per game in wins but 7.57 per game in losses and Vegas is expecting this game to remain close.