5 Historical Vegas Trends You Should Know for Super Bowl LIII

Buy Hogan in a Close Game

Chris Hogan has played a ton of snaps pretty much all year, but that hasn't translated to a lot of targets. He does, however, have a few trends working in his favor heading into the Super Bowl.

Throughout his time in New England, Hogan has been at his best when Vegas expects the Patriots to be in a close game.

In the few games that may actually be contentious for New England (no bigger than a 4.0-point spread), Hogan scored an additional 1.8 half-PPR points. Hogan has also become more involved in the offense in recent weeks, benefitting from the absence of Josh Gordon. Hogan has been targeted 23 times over the past three games.

His floor is scary, but Hogan offers decent upside and great savings as the 14th-most expensive player on the slate.