This one isn't about how good Toby Gerhart is. In fact, it's almost irrelevant how good he is because of how bad everyone else on Jacksonville is. No one is going to produce in the traditional sense in that system. No one.

But in the usage sense, you have to love Toby Gerhart this year. And because he's a slow, plodding, underachieving proto-fullback in an era where that player type is outdated by a half century, he's going at least two or three rounds too low in your draft. Don't take him because you think he's good - he's not - take him because you know he's going to get 300 carries, if only because his team is so awful.

Our projection: 1,200 total yards, 6 touchdowns, RB21