Around this time last year, an impressive physical profile, but he also stood to inherit a massive workload for his new team, the Jacksonville Jaguars.

But as we now know, things didn’t quite turn out the way we thought that they would. Owners who invested a third or fourth round pick in Gerhart were simply left with regrets and probably hearts that are now just a little more jaded (a normal side effect of fantasy football).

Gerhart’s NFL future still remains a mystery, especially since Jacksonville invested real draft capital in a rookie running back (more on him to come later), and rumors swirling about his possible move to H-back.

In the next few slides I have highlighted four running backs that because of their assumed situation and current average draft position (ADP) -- according to Fantasy Football Calculator -- could become this year’s Toby Gerhart: over-drafted and under-performing.

The point of this exercise is not disparage Gerhart or any of the running backs profiled but simply to remind ourselves that no matter what we make think of a player and his situation, even peach combinations of the two are never guaranteed to work out. It’s important to leave room for the realities of fallibility.