FanDuel Price: $8,700
numberFire Projection: 18.67 points

Yeah, I said it. I’m going back to the well. Look, Lynch has been a stud for so long that his two mediocre performances to start the season, particularly his most recent one against the Packers, probably have some worried that he's lost a step. I don't buy it, especially not against the Bears. And especially not with the game script we're looking at in Week 3.

With Lynch running at home in a game predicted to produce 43.5 points with a 14.5 point spread in the Seahawks' favor, we're likely to be looking at a lot of clock management from the Seahawks. With Vegas lines like these, the most likely scenario is that the Seahawks will be able to get ahead early given the Bears' woeful run and pass defenses, currently ranked at 31st in the leagues according to our schedule-adjusted Defensive Net Expected Points (NEP) metrics. That smells a lot like the Seahawks will be handing Lynch the rock a lot in the second half.

Projected to be the highest scoring running back this week by our numbers, if Lynch can't bust loose when given the opportunity against the Bears, I might place myself in the camp worried about him until he proves otherwise. But for this week, I'm operating under the assumption that he'll prove otherwise.