While As Rich Hribar pointed out, Evans combined for seven catches, 50 yards, and a touchdown in two games versus Carolina last year. That doesn’t look like two games of typical Evans production; it looks like the average Jarvis Landry line for one game.

The Panthers quietly have our third-ranked passing defense through three weeks, continuing a trend from the second half of last season. Of course, they have played Jacksonville, Houston, and New Orleans sans Drew Brees this year.

Since Tampa Bay’s offense is in the same tier as those three teams’, it's reasonable to expect the Panthers to play at a similar level. Also, Evans will see cornerback Josh Norman, who allowed Allen Robinson to catch 4 balls on 9 targets and 68 yards, and DeAndre Hopkins 5 catches on 11 targets for 53 yards.

After this week, it is smooth sailing, as Evans gets Jacksonville, Atlanta, and the entire NFC East over the following six weeks. But for this week, we project him for 4.70 receptions for 66.10 yards and 0.47 touchdowns.