NFL
Looking at Last Season's Finishes to Find This Year's Breakout Fantasy Football Players
Michael Floyd went over the 100-yard mark in five of Arizona's last eight games. What other players ended 2015 on a high note and may be primed for a breakout season?

Zach Ertz, TE, Philadelphia Eagles

Zach Ertz has been a popular breakout pick for the past two seasons, and while he’s put up solid numbers each year, Ertz has never truly exploded.

He may have started his breakout in the final four weeks of 2015. Over those four games, Ertz turned 46 targets into 35 catches, gaining 450 yards and scoring once.

OpponentTargetsReceptionsYardsTouchdowns
Week 14Bills75980
Week 15Cardinals138780
Week 16Redskins17131221
Week 17Giants991520


Obviously, Ertz is not going to average 11.5 targets per game this season. With that said, he maintained impressive efficiency while getting heavy volume in that three-game stretch, averaging 9.8 yards per target. With that kind of per-target production, he can still put up good numbers with a decrease in volume.

The Eagles changed head coaches this offseason, hiring Doug Pederson, the former offensive coordinator of the Kansas City Chiefs. Pederson and the Eagles made quite a commitment to Ertz, signing him to a five-year, $42.5 million extension.

Philadelphia doesn’t look like it’ll be a powerhouse this fall, with some betting sites listing them at 30-to-1 odds -- next to last -- to win the NFC. It’s not hard to envision a scenario where Ertz and the Eagles’ offense gets some garbage time, which is what helped fuel Ertz’s big games in Week 15 and Week 16 last season.

With an ADP of TE12, Ertz is a great player to target for those who like to wait on tight ends, and he could provide really nice value this season.

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