ADP: 10.09 (122nd overall)
Zach Ertz, like Zach Miller, ended 2015 on a high note. Thanks to some crazy volume and friendly game scripts, Ertz racked up 35 grabs for 450 yards and 1 score over the last four weeks.
Targets | Receptions | Yards | Touchdowns | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Week 14 | 7 | 5 | 98 | 0 |
Week 15 | 13 | 8 | 78 | 0 |
Week 16 | 17 | 13 | 122 | 1 |
Week 17 | 9 | 9 | 152 | 0 |
Ertz averaged an insane -- and unsustainable -- 11.5 targets per game during that stretch, but game script is something that could work in his favor fairly often as the Philadelphia Eagles have the sixth-worst odds to win the Super Bowl in 2016.
Another feather in Ertz's cap is the fact the Eagles made quite a commitment to him earlier this offseason, signing him to a 5-year, $42.5 million deal.
We have Ertz as the 11th-ranked tight end in our projections, which aligns with his ADP of the TE12. The same expected volume that provides Ertz with a safe floor also gives him a pretty nice ceiling. He's a solid pick this late in the draft.