With all of the favorites advancing in last week's wild card round, the NFL playoff landscape hasn't changed all that drastically. The Patriots are still big favorites, and our numbers still favor the Falcons -- albeit by just a hair -- out of the NFC.
For complete Super Bowl odds, take a look below. Keep in mind that our nERD metric represents the number of points we'd expect a team to win by against an average opponent on a neutral field. So, yes, the Texans, per our algorithm, are a below-average NFL team. You can thank the AFC South for that, Houston fans.
Team | nERD | Super Bowl Odds | |
---|---|---|---|
1 | New England Patriots | 9.26 | 33.70% |
2 | Atlanta Falcons | 7.66 | 17.00% |
3 | Dallas Cowboys | 6.11 | 16.60% |
4 | Seattle Seahawks | 4.65 | 8.20% |
5 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 2.77 | 7.90% |
6 | Green Bay Packers | 4.63 | 7.40% |
7 | Kansas City Chiefs | 2.24 | 7.20% |
8 | Houston Texans | -0.98 | 1.90% |