It's easy to look at the four teams remaining in the NFL playoffs and think there's a clear lack of parity in the league. The Patriots and Steelers again? Aaron Rodgers making a run in the playoffs again?
But the paths these teams have taken to their respective conference championship games haven't been likely. Not at all.
The Packers, for instance, had a 0.10% chance to win the Super Bowl following a Week 11 loss -- they were destroyed -- to Washington. Since then, Green Bay hasn't lost. And their Super Bowl odds have gradually risen.
At one point in the season, the Steelers hit a wall, too. Following their Week 10 loss to the Cowboys, our numbers gave the Steelers just a 0.80% chance to win the Super Bowl. Like Green Bay, Pittsburgh has gone on a run, winning each of their last nine games.
So, yes, we're seeing similar teams in the conference championship round, Atlanta Falcons aside. But that doesn't mean there's been a lack of parity -- there's been plenty of it.
Here's a look at each of the team's odds to win the Super Bowl as we enter the last multiple-game slate of the season.
Team | Super Bowl Odds |
---|---|
Patriots | 39.60% |
Falcons | 32.90% |
Packers | 14.90% |
Steelers | 12.60% |