I’ve been in leagues before where guys simply quit after they have the starting lineup. “The rest doesn’t matter!†they say in an entirely non-sarcastic, utterly ridiculous drawl. “I don’t know these guys anyway.†If that’s you, I would like to ask you to kindly have a seat over to the side. You can wait for the next numberFire article about Ray Rice or Aaron Rodgers or some guy you will be somehow shocked isn’t still there in round three. This article isn’t for you.
These are the guys that won’t be high picks, but they could make your fantasy team if chosen at the correct spot, just ahead of where they're currently projected to go. numberFire’s draft formula relies heavily on past trends. And the current trend for these guys is, “Hey, I'm not gone yet!†Here’s some names that you probably already know but need to re-learn come this fantasy season.
Top 5 Forgotten Fantasy Picks
5. #8 QB in our Fantasy Draft Kit)
ESPN Projected Rank: #79 (#12 QB)
Current Average Draft Position: #102 (#13 QB)
numberFire Projected Fantasy Points: 251.87
Let’s start off with a Barry Bonds-sized asterisk – his best receiver #1 D/ST in our Fantasy Draft Kit)
ESPN Projected Rank: #124 (#3 D/ST)
Current Average Draft Position: #132 (#6 D/ST)
numberFire Projected Fantasy Points: 125.00
On the scale of fantasy mantras, “Never pick a defense too early†is somewhere up there between “Always get a running back in the first two rounds†and “If somebody for some reason picks Paris Jackson this season, mostly on the back of an estimated 36.2 sacks and 17.8 interceptions. And don’t forget, especially with Level 100 Returner skills.
3. #31 WR in our Fantasy Draft Kit)
ESPN Projected Rank: #233 (#77 WR)
Current Average Draft Position: #122 (#45 WR)
numberFire Projected Fantasy Points: 120.82
Did Santana Moss pay University of Miami football players too, or is there something I missed? There’s absolutely no reason for Moss to fall outside the top ten rounds, especially with "that guy†RGIII now throwing him the deep ball. The Washington Redskins depth chart still has him starting, and call me a skeptic, but I don’t think #7 QB in our Fantasy Draft Kit)
ESPN Projected Rank: #86 (#13 QB)
Average Draft Position: #111 (#14 QB)
numberFire Projected Fantasy Points: 252.6
What do by all accounts, he’s back healthy. In the previous two seasons, when he started every game in each, he finished with 341 and 298 fantasy points, respectively, and over 4000 yards passing each time. numberFire has him just shy of that mark this time, but if you don’t get one of the top 6 or so QBs in rounds one through four, Schaub’s not a bad guy to take a chance on late.
1. #3 TE in our Fantasy Draft Kit)
ESPN Projected Rank: #105 (#12 TE)
Current Average Draft Position: #109 (#10 TE)
numberFire Projected Fantasy Points: 131.65
If I told you that there was a pass catcher out there who has had at least 5 receiving touchdowns in 10 of the past 11 seasons, started every game but one since 2000, and hit 100 fantasy points in every single one of those years, what’s the lowest you draft him? Fourth round? Third? The perception exists that Tony Gonzalez is slowing down, but based on what Falcons fans saw last season, that’s simply not true. Gonzalez had his highest yardage total (875) and touchdown total (7) since joining the Atlanta Falcons, and his 130 fantasy points scored was his third-highest mark since the 2004 season where he went off for 1258 yards. He may be 36 years old, but until he has a truly down season, it would be smart for fantasy owners to ride Gonzalez for as long as they can. He may not be Gronkowski or Graham, but if you can pick him up late in the 8th or 9th round, he could be the key to a stable tight end position all year.