When an offensive coordinator speaks in the preseason, you have to take it with a grain of salt. Quotes such as "we're going to run him until he throws up" or "he's our top breakout candidate" are commonplace, and tend to send fantasy football average draft positions in an upward whirlwind. Just like choosing where you get your news, check the source (the offensive coordinator) and see what his track record is before altering your strategy or determining someone is a breakthrough candidate.

There are some exceptions to this rule, however. And new Cowboys Offensive Coordinator Scott Linehan is one of those exceptions.

In light of the fact that Linehan has been noted to be "creating stuff" for shifty running back Rotoworld highlighted the fact that Dunbar figures to get 6 to 9 touches per game, which could make him a fantasy flex play as what the team would consider a change-of-pace back.

However, what may have more potential importance is that, while Dunbar plays behind top 10 running back candidate Fantasy Football Calculator, Dunbar isn't among the top 50 running backs drafted in 10-team standard leagues, and he has an ADP of RB50 in PPR leagues, which equates to him being drafted in the middle of the 12th round in fantasy drafts. His ADP is low enough to the point where he's a flier, and one who should still be able to produce weekly all while providing a handcuff to DeMarco Murray.

Our projections show Dunbar as the 72nd ranked running back with 46 carries for 236 yards, 22 receptions for 145 yards and one total touchdown. Most of the players with similar projections are older and in significant timeshares, and given the upside provided above, this could be considered a conservative look at his potential.

Nonetheless, our projections and Dunbar's current ADP highlight that he's virtually free, and what some people would consider arbitrage in their drafts. He's in a dynamic Scott Linehan offense which has turned players like Dunbar into useful fantasy options. With that in mind, I'd let Linehan's track record and his words be the signal that it's time to draft Dunbar in your leagues, as there is definite upside potential at a low entry price.