The purpose of the content we provide here at numberFire is to provide you with an analytical advantage when it comes to understanding real football and dominating in fantasy football. That means you shouldn't (and don't) come here for hot takes on how long is done for the year after appealing his ban for substance abuse, it's time for our data to spring into action and give you the information you need to be ahead of the curve when it comes to the Browns' offense. Your league mates and friends will spend the next few days moaning about how fair or unfair the suspension is, while you hit the waiver wire or head to the betting window.
So what can we take away from this suspension? How does this impact the Cleveland Browns? Here are some of the highlights.
The Browns Lost a Really Good Player
First and foremost, it’s important to note the ridiculousness of Gordon’s sophomore season.
The start of We've heard the same from local media in Cleveland. And even if you don’t believe reports like that, to expect a Browns squad that added two running back pieces over the offseason to be pass-heavy would be foolish. Let alone the fact that their quarterback situation isn't very trustworthy.
Pettine is a Rex Ryan disciple, and will want his squad to resemble the run-heavy, hard-nosed teams his old boss used to make deep playoff runs every year. And Shanahan has a history of favoring the run as well. His Redskins offenses were usually at or below league average for pass-to-run ratio, as were his Texans offenses prior to his time in Washington.
He's never led an offense with a pass-to-run ratio even close to the 2.11 the Browns had last year, and that figures to continue with his some pressure from his boss to run the ball and control time of possession.
So there will be fewer passes to go around in Cleveland, which is a good thing considering the lack of targets.
And of those looks, a majority will likely go to tight end Jordan Cameron, who is the only returning Browns pass-catcher with more than 18 targets (if we don't consider running back Chris Ogbonnaya, who will struggle to see the field this year, a "returning pass-catcher"). He was also the second-most productive receiver on the team, earning a third-place finish among NFL tight ends in Reception NEP.
Fantasy Implications
Cameron is now a safer pick than ever, as he's the most legitimate target the Browns have on offense. Miles Austin's health and age-related decline in skills combined with Burleson's general inefficiency make the tight end a sure bet to lead the team in receptions and targets, assuming health. If he's not, the Browns offense is wasting their best weapon.
And while a lot of fantasy owners might be ready to jump on the Andrew Hawkins bandwagon with this news, you might not want to follow suit. Hawkins was fifth-worst out of 33 receivers with 40 to 60 catches in 2012 according to our per-target data, and his small sample size in 2013 doesn't reveal a huge step forward.
So in other words, the Browns will almost have to rely more on the running game, whether they wanted to or not, because they're criminally poor at wide receiver at the moment. None of their top options out wide are even average NFL players, so expect heavy doses of running plays and tight end throws this season from Cleveland.
Miles Austin is the best talent at receiver, and is worth your fantasy consideration. But his age and health will make starting him a headache. You'd be better off taking a flier on a backup for another team, and not investing in what could be the worst receiving corps in the league.
And you should stay far away from the quarterback situation here, and only consider Johnny Manziel once he's named the starter (and even then, don't expect all that much). Manziel will only be worth your time because of his legs, and his current cost is so high that you probably won't have him on many rosters unless he's released between now and his eventual ascension to starter.