A lot has changed since Week 16 of the 2013 NFL season. For starters, I got engaged. I’m not sure how that happened.
I also now live in Charlotte, North Carolina. If you’ve never eaten at Bojangles, you’re missing out. Four piece chicken supreme with a sweet tea? You can’t beat it.
But football things happened, too. Ingram’s looked quicker this season, and is listed atop the Saints depth chart to start the year. He’s not much of a pass-catcher, but a really underrated Saints defense could hold the opposing Falcons in check, allowing Ingram to run loose in the second half.
Sit Rashad Jennings - This is mostly for standard leagues, so keep that in mind while you’re making your lineup decisions. Jennings should be on the field if the Giants go down, which is probable given the current Vegas odds of this contest. Jennings is the de facto third-down back, and the only real pass-catching threat on this team. In PPR leagues, he should be fine this week.
However, Detroit can stop the run with their massive defensive line, and Andre Williams is still a threat to take red-zone looks. This isn’t to say that Jennings is a terrible option in standard, non-PPR formats, but if you’re in a shallow league and can slot another guy in there for him, I’m not against it.
Other players to start: Pierre Thomas, Montee Ball
Other players to sit: Maurice Jones-Drew, Knowshon Moreno
Wide Receiver
Start Roddy White - The Saints are only three-point favorites – albeit in Atlanta – with a 51.5 over/under this week. Last year, only Cleveland ran more passing plays than Atlanta did, and while the Browns are most definitely going to be a running team this year, the Falcons aren’t.
Though New Orleans’ defense is actually pretty solid and ranked seventh against the pass a season ago, there’s a chance this game turns into a shootout. Roddy’s been playing all over the field with Tony Gonzalez out of the picture, and is finally healthy, making him a must-start each week.
Sit Mike Wallace - Mike Wallace could get the Darrelle Revis treatment this weekend, which means you should stay away. He’s a boom or bust candidate each week he’s on the field, and in a new Miami offense that has a lot of question marks, he’s not worth a gamble if you have nice bench options to sub him with. As of today, he’s our 31st-ranked wide receiver for Week 1.
Start Michael Crabtree - I know I sound like a broken record, but targeting the 49ers against the Cowboys is a smart call this week. Crabtree’s ready for a big year, and starting against a depleted defense like Dallas is the perfect way to get things going.
He’s an easy call, but keep in mind that he missed practice on Wednesday, and his Week 1 status is now unknown. Should Crabtree sit, Anquan Boldin is a nice option as well, and may be on the waiver wire in shallow leagues.
Sit Keenan Allen - Like a lot of these “sit†options, this is merely a fair warning. Allen will face off against Arizona’s Patrick Peterson, which isn’t exactly the way you want to start a season.
The one thing going for Allen and the Chargers is the fact that Arizona saw the third-most pass attempts against them last season. If Allen can find a little separation, volume may not be a problem.
But given the fact that he was drafted as a WR1 and is projected to score the 24th-most points at wideout this week, you may want to think twice if you’re in a smaller league. And in daily games, you should fade Allen.
Start Emmanuel Sanders - Everything’s gone well for Emmanuel Sanders over the last week or two. He had a monster preseason contest against the Texans, hauling in five passes for two touchdowns and 128 yards. And then Wes Welker was suspended, freeing up targets and potentially moving Sanders to the slot, where he’d get to stay away from larger opposing cornerbacks.
His Week 1 opponent, Indianapolis, should scare no one defensively. Sanders is a fantastic play in both season-long and daily fantasy leagues this week.
Sit Golden Tate - Golden Tate’s first game as a Lion could be difficult, as they face a Giants secondary that not only ranked sixth against the pass last year, but actually got better over the offseason.
Reggie Bush and Joique Bell could end up dominating this game for Detroit, and obviously Calvin Johnson will gobble up targets as Matthew Stafford’s go-to guy. Tate should catch a lot of passes this year and is capable of breaking a big one, but I’d be nervous to start him confidently in a standard league against a good Giants’ secondary.
Other players to start: Victor Cruz, Jeremy Maclin
Other players to sit: Mike Evans, Sammy Watkins
Tight End
Start Antonio Gates - Last season, no team allowed more points to opposing tight ends than the Arizona Cardinals. And it really wasn’t close, as they surrendered 3.5 more standard fantasy points per game than any other team to the position.
Everyone wants Ladarius Green to be the hero, but I’m still on Team Gates. He’s going to play more snaps than his tight end teammate, and is still the guy Philip Rivers is going to target in the red zone. He’s still out there in almost 40 percent of ESPN leagues, and if he is, snatch him up.
Sit Kyle Rudolph - As I documented last year with Jordan Cameron, the Norv Turner effect on tight ends is very real. And that should – and will – be a good thing for Kyle Rudolph this year.
But this Week 1 game has 17 to 13 written all over it. The Rams, Rudolph’s opponent, also allowed the second-fewest points to tight ends last year, which doesn’t help his cause, either. He’s not a bad option, but I’d rather take the upside with the guy below.
Start Travis Kelce - Everyone’s favorite tight end hero has an opportunity to seize plenty of looks in Week 1 with Dwayne Bowe out, and I’m buying. Anthony Fasano may be ahead of him on the depth chart, but his historic inefficiency shouldn’t scare Kelce owners.
Only the aforementioned Bowe and Jamaal Charles saw 100-plus targets in the Chiefs offense last year, and the third guy on the target distribution list, Dexter McCluster, is gone. If you want a high-risk, high-reward option at tight end this week, Kelce is your man.
Sit Delanie Walker - Walker performed well with Ryan Fitzpatrick under center last season, seeing roughly two additional catches per game verus when Jake Locker was running the offense. But Locker’s back, as is his tendency to throw a little deeper than Fitzpatrick, which means Walker’s season could be more inconsistent than folks realize.
His Week 1 matchup is against a Chiefs team that defended tight ends well last year, and as a result, he’s our 17th-ranked player at his position for the opening week of the season.
Other players to start: Zach Ertz, Heath Miller
Other players to sit: Dennis Pitta, Dwayne Allen
Defense
Start the Detroit Lions - As I mentioned previously, Eli Manning hasn’t completely grasped the new McAdoo offense, and could struggle early on in the season. Though his turnover rate may not be as high due to quick, short passes being thrown, Detroit’s defensive front should give the Giants all kind of trouble offensively on Monday night. They’re a great streaming option for those looking for a defense.
Sit the San Francisco 49ers - For whatever reason, folks were drafting the 49ers defense as a top-five unit this offseason. With a suspension to Aldon Smith and NaVorro Bowman’s knee injury, the 9ers aren’t going to have the same fire we’ve been used to under Jim Harbaugh.
The Cowboys offense isn’t the team’s weakness. Though they may fall behind, Tony Romo and company are capable of putting up points, and Vegas is aware of this, too, making it one of the highest-scoring contests of the weekend. It’s not necessary to plug-and-play San Francisco this – or any – week.
Other defenses to start: Steelers, Jets
Other defenses to sit: Giants, Dolphins