Some say that the Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs is the best weekend of football all year. Who are we to argue, especially considering the slate of games ahead of us?
With just eight teams remaining in contention for the Vince Lombardi Trophy this season, here are the latest championship odds -- according to the NFL odds as well as our model.
| Team | Odds | Implied Probability | nF Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers | +370 | 21.3% | 22.6% |
| Kansas City Chiefs | +400 | 20.0% | 17.7% |
| Buffalo Bills | +500 | 16.7% | 13.1% |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +550 | 15.4% | 13.4% |
| Los Angeles Rams | +700 | 12.5% | 9.6% |
| Tennessee Titans | +850 | 10.5% | 12.2% |
| San Francisco 49ers | +1000 | 9.1% | 5.3% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +1500 | 6.3% | 6.0% |
Going by the odds, we are looking at a possible rematch of Super Bowl I -- although back then, the game wasn't called the Super Bowl -- between the Green Bay Packers and Kansas City Chiefs. A Chiefs-Packers clash is the one most favored by FanDuel Sportsbook, with odds of +600 available on these two to meet in the Super Bowl.
Among the favorites, the Packers are the only squad that offers any betting value, per our model, and it's just a sliver. At a line of +370, their implied odds to win the title are 21.3%, and we give them championship odds of 22.6%.
The team that continues to offer the best value -- according to our numbers -- is the Tennessee Titans. The No.1 seed in the AFC is available at +850 (10.5% implied odds) to win it all, but our algorithm hands them a 12.2% chance of taking home the title.
The two biggest longshots, the San Francisco 49ers and Cincinnati Bengals, are not considered likely to take part in their third Super Bowl clash. FanDuel Sportsbook is offering a price of +3900 on these two teams locking horns in the Super Bowl.