Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up within the betting market to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy football.
Here we'll focus on utilizing our projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are using the odds provided at NBA Finals odds to pinpoint spots where value can be had on Sunday.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Note: Betting lines and our player projections may change throughout after this article is published.
Deebo Samuel Over 39.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
It's quite clear that whatever position you'd like to place Deebo Samuel in, he's going to be heavily involved in the offense for the San Francisco 49ers.
Samuel logged 13 total touches a week ago, and 10 of those came on the ground -- an identical mark to the 10 carries he saw the week before in a road win over the Dallas Cowboys in the Wild Card Round.
Samuel should see similar rushing volume this week versus the Los Angeles Rams, and 39.5 yards is a number he can hit.
We have Deebo projected for 7.6 carries and 43.2 rushing yards.
Patrick Mahomes Over 289.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Look, if you want to argue with me that Patrick Mahomes missed this mark in 12 of 17 regular-season games, I get it.
But if we are ignoring the playoff version of Patrick Mahomes, especially in his home digs of Arrowhead Stadium, that would be a huge mistake.
Mahomes is averaging 310.4 passing yards per game in the postseason for his career, and he's thrown for at least 325 yards in three straight home playoff games.
Last week, in one of the games of the year, Mahomes shredded a highly competent Buffalo Bills D for 378 passing yards. In the opening round of the playoffs, he bested that mark with 404 passing yards and 5 scores versus the Pittsburgh Steelers.
The Cincinnati Bengals' defense is just 20th against the pass, according to our metrics. Mahomes could go nuts again.
Ja'Marr Chase Over 87.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
One of the crazier stories I have heard this week is that Les Miles told Ja'Marr Chase that he wasn't skilled enough to play the wide receiver position at LSU. I think that was a miss.
With a rookie campaign in which he logged 1,455 receiving yards and 13 scores under his belt, Chase seems pretty decent at catching the rock from old teammate Joe Burrow. He can crust it this week, too.
The Kansas City Chiefs rank 21st against the pass by our numbers, and they just gave up 201 receiving yards to Gabriel Davis last week. Chase went off for 11 catches for 266 yards and 3 scores when Cincy and KC met up late in the regular season, so consider pairing this with an anytime touchdown prop (+100) or first touchdown scorer (+850).
Our algorithm projects Chase for 89.8 receiving yards on Sunday.