Entering the 2014 season, the Tennessee Titans and their fans should have been feeling fairly confident.

After a 7-9 season in 2013 and the arrival of Ken Whisenhunt as the new head coach, ostensibly promising to shake up the offense, our algorithms gave the Titans a 43.5 percent chance to make the playoffs -- the 12th-best shot in the whole league. But by Week 5, those odds were down to just 7.3 percent.

With the Indianapolis Colts given a 43.6 percent chance, the objectivity of the numbers didn't see much of a difference between the eventual 2-14 team and a team that reached the AFC Championship. That's not to say that our numbers were way off, but to indicate how much injuries and failure to play up to expectation can take two similar teams down very different paths.

Speaking of expectation, at numberFire, we have a metric called Dexter Jettster key players -- could be on the way out, so it's fairly obvious that the 2015 Titans will feature some new names.

Based on the 2-14 season and the unpromising metrics, that might be exactly what the Titans need to compete again in the AFC South after what was the most disappointing season in the franchise's last 15 years.