Stacks are usually the backbone of the best FanDuel lineups, especially in tournaments. Brandon Gdula's piece examining hit rates and correlation for stacks is a must-read article whether you're already familiar with stacking or new to the concept.
This piece will lay out my favorite weekly stacks. So, read on to see the stacks I'm firing up this week.
Buffalo Bills
Josh Allen ($9,200), Stefon Diggs ($8,900), and Gabriel Davis ($6,900)
Bring-back Options: Travis Kelce ($8,300), Marquez Valdes-Scantling ($5,800), or Skyy Moore ($5,000)
I already gushed about Davis earlier this week. So, check out 5 NFL FanDuel Value Plays to Target in Week 6 for why he's an excellent choice this week. Still, the Buffalo Bills should light up the scoreboard this week, meaning there's plenty of meat on the bone for Allen and Diggs, too.
In neutral game scripts this year, Allen has thrown 148 passes, and players other than him have run the ball only 48 times. But, of course, Allen has also done damage in neutral game scripts, rushing 25 times for 146 yards and two touchdowns.
Further, Allen's been a dual-threat monster in all game scripts this year. As a result, he leads the NFL in passing yards per game (330.2), has tossed 14 touchdowns, and has rushed for two touchdowns and 45.0 yards per game. The numberFire projection algorithm projects Allen to lead FanDuel's main slate in scoring while tallying the highest value score -- the measure of FanDuel points per $1,000 of salary -- among all players.
Diggs is expected to do damage this week as well. We project him as the WR3 on the main slate in Week 6. Buffalo's No. 1 wideout has been superb this year. According to Pro Football Reference, he's tied for second in receiving touchdowns (five), third in receptions per game (7.8), and fourth in receiving yards per game (101.6).
The matchup is sweet for Diggs this week. According to Football Outsiders, the Kansas City Chiefs have coughed up the second-most receiving yards per game (98.5) to the opposition's No. 1 wideouts this year.
The context info is dreamy, too. First, the Bills have the highest implied total on the main slate at 28.00 points. Second, the spread is only 2.5 points. Finally, the game might be played at a blistering pace. According to Football Outsiders, the Bills play at the fifth-highest situation-neutral pace, and the Chiefs are 12th. This will be a chalky game stack, but it's excellent nonetheless.
Arizona Cardinals
Kyler Murray ($8,300), Marquise Brown ($8,200), and Zach Ertz ($6,000)
Bring-back Options: Tyler Lockett ($7,500) or Kenneth Walker III ($6,500)
Gamers entering multiple lineups into tournaments should lock the other projected shootout on this week's main slate into some of their rosters. There are only two games on Sunday afternoon with a projected total of over 46 points, the Bills and Chiefs at 53.5 points and the Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks at 50.5 points. As a result, the Cardinals have a juicy 26.75-point implied total in a possible back-and-forth affair.
Kliff Kingsbury hasn't lived up to his billing as an offensive genius, but Murray has sometimes covered up for his head coach throughout their football marriage. Additionally, Murray is a dual-threat quarterback with a mouthwatering matchup, giving him a dreamy ceiling.
Murray's used his wheels to rush for more than 25 yards twice this season and scored touchdowns on the ground in two contests. The fourth-year quarterback also averages 258.2 passing yards per game with six touchdowns. So, he can pile up FanDuel points on the ground and through the air.
When Murray takes to the air, Hollywood and Ertz are his most productive targets. Ertz was featured as a value earlier this week. The veteran tight end has had at least six receptions and 45 receiving yards in the previous four weeks, and he had two receptions, 14 receiving yards, a touchdown, and a two-point conversion in Week 1. So, he's talented enough to exploit a Seattle defense that's yielded the second-most receiving yards per game (79.6) to tight ends.
Still, Brown should get his through the air, too. First, according to our metrics, the Seahawks are the worst pass defense in 2022. Second, Hollywood has played at a high level in his first year in the desert. The fourth-year receiver is averaging 7.6 receptions and 83.4 receiving yards per game with three touchdowns. So, he'll be a handful for the Seahawks, and they haven't been up for any challenges through the air this year. As a result, Arizona's trio of Murray, Brown, and Ertz can erupt this weekend.
Indianapolis Colts-Jacksonville Jaguars
Jonathan Taylor ($8,000) and Travis Etienne ($6,400)
Taylor might return this week for a pivotal AFC South matchup.
Colts running back Jonathan Taylor has returned to practice today, a good sign for his chances to play Sunday vs. Jacksonville.
— Zak Keefer (@zkeefer) October 13, 2022
Taylor was out last week with an ankle injury but has had a mini bye to recover since the Indianapolis Colts played last Thursday. Unfortunately, he toted the rock only nine times in Week 2 when the Jacksonville Jaguars boatraced the Colts 24-0. However, Taylor rumbled for 54 yards in that one at 6.00 yards per carry. Additionally, the Colts will have Michael Pittman Jr. and Alec Pierce for this meeting after they were sidelined for the prior contest.
Moreover, Jacksonville has been in a tailspin since a promising start to the year. They've been steamrolled by running backs lately. They've allowed 286 yards and four touchdowns on 63 attempts in the last two weeks. Taylor can further their struggles defending the run, and the game script might be good with the Colts favored by 1.5 points. As a result, Taylor is popping in our projections, projecting as the RB1 with the highest value score at the position.
It can be ill-advised to use running backs from the same NFL game in the same FanDuel lineup. However, a good game script for Taylor is ideal for Etienne, too. According to Pro Football Focus (PFF), Etienne has run 91 routes versus 77 for James Robinson. Additionally, Etienne has been more productive than J-Rob in the passing attack, holding edges in targets (15 versus 9), receptions (11 to 8), receiving yards (124 to 45), and yards per route run (1.36 Y/RR to 0.58 Y/RR). Etienne has also been used beyond the line of scrimmage with a 1.8-yard average depth of target (aDOT), and Robinson has had a -0.8-yard aDOT.
Etienne should also benefit from the matchup being more favorable for backs in the passing game than on the ground. The Colts are the eighth-best rush defense in our power rankings. However, Indy has allowed the sixth-most receiving yards per game (52.1) to running backs this year.
So, while it's sometimes unwise to use two running backs from the same game, Etienne and JT are an intriguing tournament stack in this instance.
Green Bay Packers-New York Jets
Randall Cobb ($5,700) and Breece Hall ($7,100)
Hall is a carryover from 5 NFL FanDuel Value Plays to Target in Week 6. I suggest checking out that piece for the full explanation of why he's an excellent pick this week. However, the short version is that he's played at least 67 percent of the New York Jets snaps in the last two games, and he's run 37 routes compared to only 22 for Michael Carter in those contests. Moreover, he's been great, amassing 285 scrimmage yards, two touchdowns, and four receptions in the last two weeks. I still love him at this point in the week.
On the flip side, I dig Cobb. Last week, he had season highs for targets (13), receptions (seven), receiving yards (99), snap rate (63.93 percent), and routes (29). The 32-year-old slot has also been the most efficient pass-catcher for the Green Bay Packers with at least 10 targets this year, sporting 2.39 Y/RR.
Cobb is also the best matchup fit. According to PFF, teams are playing man coverage at a 29.4 percent rate this year, and the Jets have played man coverage at only a 21.4 percent clip this year. Cobb has excelled against zone coverage this year. According to PFF, he's caught 10 of 11 targets for 118 yards and 2.68 Y/RR against zone coverage in 2022.
Thus, I like Cobb's odds of maintaining his momentum from last week's outburst as a reliable weapon for Aaron Rodgers. Finally, the Packers have the fourth-highest implied total (26.25) on this week's main slate, adding to the appeal of using Cobbs as cheap exposure to a tasty total.
Joshua Shepardson is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Joshua Shepardson also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username bchad50. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.