Every Friday on numberFire, editor Zach Warren is going to take a look at a few of the questions troubling football fans this week and add his numbers-filled take. Want to ask a question yourself? How about answering questions from your own point of view? Then hop on over to that questions board right now and become part of our numberFire community.
Are we there yet? Every year, it seems like these final two weeks of the preseason take an eternity and a half. The start of college football season is great, but South Carolina-Vanderbilt can only do so much when it's Cowboys-Giants or Packers-49ers that you're yearning for. Right now, I'd even willingly watch the entirety of the Jaguars-Vikings game: that's how much I'm ready for football. But unless you count NFL cut night tonight as the high-octane action that you're looking for (I don't), it'll be another five agonizing days.
The numberFire community must be as football-starved as me, because the questions board has been lighting up over the past week with fantasy owners conducting last minute drafts and making final cuts and roster additions. As somebody who has done two of his three drafts over this past week, I'm in full-on fantasy mode as well. I haven't spent as much time on the questions board as I should, but I plan on making up for that right here: how about some answers to the week's biggest questions, as powered by numberFire's analytics.
Question 1: Will Peyton Hillis become a number 1 RB?
For close in their number of carries by the end of the season. While many outlets have run with this story as "OMG Timeshare!", take a closer look at the wording that Teicher uses: "by the end of the year". Right now, there's no reason for the Chiefs coaching staff to go anywhere but Charles. At the beginning, fully expect to see him take the full-workload, much like he did in 2010 when he was splitting time with What do you think of this team and who would you start at WR in week 1?
Well, for starters, the team is excellent. According to numberFire's rankings, you've got two top ten players in What kinda year you think Sidney Rice will have?
A poor one is the easy answer to this question. I have about as much trust in Week One Receiver 3 - Garcon or Washington?
The general consensus from the questions forum seems to be Pierre Garcon, but I wouldn't write off Nate Washington week one if given that choice. The stats say it's close.
Opposing secondary: Washington, Patriots (#31 pass defense in the NFL last year). Garcon, Saints (#30). Advantage: Push
Targets: Washington and first round pick Kendall Wright will be the main two options for Jake Locker. Considering that Washington has been taking first team reps with the new quarterback all summer and Wright has not, and that the Titans will likely be throwing a lot from behind, I think Washington will get his fair share. Of course, the same argument can be made for Garcon, who will likely be the deep threat for RGIII in a game where the Redskins may be coming from behind as well. Advantage: Push
Catch Rate: This one isn't close. Washington caught 61.6% of the targets thrown his way last season. Garcon would need a magic lamp to even think about hitting 60% (no higher than 57% in any of his three seasons with significant playing time). Advantage: Washington
The only reason that I'd go with Garcon is if you were banking on him having a good chance to bust one deep on the Saints secondary. Considering that he had only nine 20+ yard catches last season and seven in 2010 (with Peyton Manning!), I wouldn't call that a certainty in the least. By comparison, Washington himself had 13 20+ yard receptions last season. For me, Washington is the safer choice with Britt out in week one.