I have been playing fantasy football long before 20th player in best-ball formats since the calendar flipped to June. He's being taken as the eighth receiver, too.

That's a pretty significant investment for a player coming off a disappointing season. To make matters worse, there are plenty of reasons to expect that Green will have a limited ceiling in 2015. Here are eight of them.

Green's Efficiency

According to our could have himself a breakout season this year.

He probably won't be pushing for double-digit scores on his own or anything -- last year, our projections think he'll throw 21 this season) then there's little room for Green to flourish.

Marvin Jones' Return

like he is 100% heading into the season, so chalk up one more reason to be wary of Green's chance at 10-plus touchdowns.

Jones converted 14 red zone targets in 2013 into nine touchdowns. He's going to have plenty of issues on his own given the Bengals' penchant for running the ball inside the 20, but Green has one more threat for scores than he did last year.

The Asking Price

Of course, these risks would be less important if Green was getting drafted as a fourth- or fifth-rounder, but he's not. And because of his name recognition, he won't be come August when the entire world has their fantasy football drafts. (The whole world plays this game, right?)

The fact of the matter is that Green isn't a guaranteed "bust" by any means. That's not what this is about. It's just that there are plenty of reasons that Green may not live up to his name even with the discount from his historical draft cost.

Our projections expect just three receivers to hit the 100-catch plateau (plenty are pegged with 90-plus), but Green is one of the three. However, our algorithms expect him to score just 7.11 touchdowns, which makes him just the 11th-most valuable standard-league receiver, per our math.