Part of me really wonders what the Christian Ponder Bandwagon would actually look like. My guess is a near-empty Volkswagen hatchback bunch of shivering Florida State fans wondering how on earth it gets this cold in Minnesota in September. They'll be warm soon though; the Ponder Bandwagon's about to get cozy with some new members after his 24 fantasy point (FP) performance against the Niners on Sunday. But Ponder wasn't the only breakout star this week 3 - Andre Brown, Torrey Smith, and Jamaal "Yes he's alive and kicking" Charles each singlehandedly won some fantasy matchups this week. If you had told their fantasy owners that before the weekend, you would have a good case to be committed (and hurry, because that Christian Ponder Bandwagon is full of people going straight to the asylum).

As always, fantasy football is a bit crazy. We're here to make sense of it, but sometimes, there are things that even we can't predict. Here is a look at some crucial names from yesterday and why they overperformed, underperformed, or were right on target with numberFire's projections.

Locked on Target, Sir

Mike Wallace - Pittsburgh Steelers
Week 3 Final Points: 18 (#4 WR)
numberFire Projected Points: 12.93 (

This was the coronation week for Alex Smith as a premier, top-flight QB. After two straight sound victories, and two straight 17 FP days to boot, a clear-cut thrashing of the Vikings was supposed to solidify him not being the bust that so many made him out to be. numberFire's resident 49ers homer, Sean Weinstock, even had Smith as his #1 fantasy upside guy for week 3. But in the end, Alex Smith was exactly who we thought he was. It's not like the 49ers couldn't move the ball at all - 40% of their drives were of 7 plays or longer. It's just that, as often has happened with Alex Smith, he couldn't punch the ball in the endzone. The 49ers had two drives of at least 10 plays in yesterday's game. The result of those two drives: three combined points after the second Akers FG attempt was blocked. Smith threw more passes than he had in any other game this season, but if you don't sustain the TDs (he had four in the first two weeks), you're not going to be a top-flight fantasy QB. Banished once again to the waiver wire for you, sir.

Vincent Jackson - Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Week 3 Final Points: 2 (#72 WR)
numberFire Projected Points: 11.73 (#6 WR)

With quantity over quality players, there is always one major issue: what happens when that massive quantity suddenly goes away? For Vincent Jackson, we just found out, and the results are terrifying ugly. Jackson has had a bad catch rate this entire season - catching only 45% of the balls thrown his way placed his catch rate right near the bottom of all NFL receivers. We also figured that his catch rate wouldn't improve much, as he has only had one season (2009) over the league-average 60% catch rate in his seven-year career. But so far this season, he had been making up for it by apparently being Josh Freeman's only friend and confidante, getting nearly 40% of all of Freeman's passes coming his way. This week, he still led the Bucs in targets with seven balls thrown his way, but that total comprised only 26% of all of Freeman's throws. And even worse, his hands dripped with even more butter than usual; he caught only one pass for an abysmal 14% catch rate on the day. Jackson had relied on quantity over quality for the first two weeks, but the bottom finally fell out against the Cowboys.