A short memory is often a good thing in the NFL. Quarterbacks need to have the ability to shake off interceptions and keep playing. Same with ball carriers and fumbles or kickers and missed chip shots. A short memory is not as good in fantasy football, when players become underrated based off their most recent performance rather than their overall body of work.
In our draft cheatsheet, we have According to Football Outsiders’ Adjusted Line Yards statistic, which takes running back carries and adjusts for down, distance, opponent, situation and formation, the Eagles ranked just 28th in all of football. Compare that to just two years ago, when Philadelphia ranked 10th in the league in that same category. Thanks to injuries and poor play, the Eagles’ offensive line has been a disaster the last two seasons, and especially so last year.
But there are reasons to believe that too will turn around. All-Pro Jason Peters will be back at left tackle after he missed all of 2012 with an Achilles injury. Starting center Jason Kelce and right tackle Todd Herremans will also be back after having their seasons cut short. The Eagles drafted tackle Lane Johnson with the fourth overall pick in the draft, and he is competing for a starting job somewhere on the line. And the team brought in new offensive line coach Jeff Stoutland from the University of Alabama. There is basically no way the offensive line could play worse, barring another round of injuries even more brutal than last year’s. It should be fun to see what McCoy can do running behind a real line.
Our Projections
When we run our projections, which are available on our draft cheatsheet, we also look at comparable seasons. We factor in the type of player, and his career arc. For McCoy, we found an interesting group of comps. Marshall Faulk, Ray Rice’s best year, Ricky Williams after he came back and was good – the numbers say to expect similar level of production from Shady.
Comparable Player | Year | Fantasy Output |
---|---|---|
James Allen | 2000 | 154 |
Marshall Faulk | 2002 | 207 |
Ray Rice | 2009 | 249 |
Joseph Addai | 2009 | 193 |
Ricky Williams | 2009 | 213 |