With the World Cup fast approaching, the betting lines for the group stage have been set, and one of the more intriguing betting options available on Oddsshark is the over/under for total group stage points for each team.

Let's compare our models, specifically our game simulator, to the betting odds to find one team worth gambling on -- either over or under their listed point total -- in each group.

The process we'll use is this: if we gave Team X a 50% chance to win their first match and a 25% chance to draw the contest, that would mean that their projected points for that game would be 1.75 (3*0.5 + 1*0.25). We did that for each group stage match to compile a projected point total for every team in the field, and then we can compare them to oddsmakers' lines.

Let's do it.