NBA

NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Thursday 3/23/23

Austan Kas  —  @AustanKas Mar 23rd, 2023

Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.

The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.

Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.

Wendell Carter Over 8.5 Rebounds (-136)

Wendell Carter Jr. has pulled down nine-plus rebounds in 10 of his last 11 games, so for this line to be at 8.5 boards, Carter must have a brutal matchup for rebounds.

He does.

He's facing the New York Knicks, a team that is tied for second in rebound rate for the season (52.0%) and a squad that has held the center position to 12.3 rebounds per night over the last 15 games, the fourth-fewest in that span.

But with how active Carter has been on the glass of late, I think he can get to this over despite the matchup.

Our model agrees, pegging Carter to snag 10.6 rebounds.

Russell Westbrook Over 6.5 Rebounds (-115)

With Paul George out, Russell Westbrook should have to up his game in all areas for the Los Angeles Clippers. While most of his props reflect that, I think there's some value in the over on Westbrook's rebounding prop.

Over the past five games, Westbrook is averaging 7.8 rebounds per night, and that's with PG13 -- and George's 5.8 boards per game over the last five -- in the lineup. Westbrook just snagged eight boards against the Oklahoma City Thunder last time out, and he will see OKC again today.

The Thunder have permitted the fifth-most rebounds per game to point guards over the last 15 games (7.2).

Russ has played at least 33 minutes in two of his last three games, and minutes shouldn't be an issue today with LA short-handed.

We project Westbrook for 6.5 rebounds, right at this line, but I think we may be selling him a bit short.

I don't mind Westbrook over 32.5 total points, rebounds and assists (-113). OKC is also in the top 10 for most points and assists surrendered to point guards over the last 15.