2016 nF Score: -3.58
2017 Projected nF Score: 0.00
Projected Boost: 3.58
| Year | IP | W | K | BB | ERA | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 92.2 | 4 | 76 | 25 | 4.86 | 1.47 |
| 2017 (Projected) | 157 | 8 | 122 | 40 | 3.79 | 1.22 |
Matt Harvey has already been through a lot during his tenure with the Mets. His injury history doesn't leave him with the most promising bounce-back potential in his own rotation, but he's proven in the past that he can be a top-tier talent on the mound.
However, based on his results so far this spring, it's probably better to take the wait-and-see approach before making any kind of investment in the right-hander moving forward.
Getting surgery to correct his thoracic outlet syndrome should help with his control, which will also help him limit hard contact after producing career worsts in line-drive rate (25.3%) and hard-hit rate (30.3%). His increase in production here is mostly coming from the increase in innings pitched, but he'll also have to get there first.
Current Fantasy Draft Information:
While he carries a recognizable name, his draft stock has plummeted after last season's poor performance -- he's also just barely inside the top 150, but getting taken right before Keuchel as the 34th starting pitcher off the board.
He has a chance at bouncing back, but with all the unknowns regarding Harvey, it's better to just let someone else take on that risk.