Price: $4,300
The Yankees' 3.99 implied total is a pretty ugly mark, even on tonight's short five-game main slate. But they do draw a plus matchup against Mets' southpaw Steven Matz, so their offense isn't completely without upside.
Matz has a weak 4.68 SIERA on the season, and he has been especially bad against right-handed hitters, allowing a .365 wOBA on a 35.5% hard-hit rate.
Aaron Judge is not a righty who leaves much room for error for opposing pitchers, having tagged southpaws for a .407 wOBA and .301 ISO on a 44.9% hard-hit rate this season. He also ranks first in the majors in average exit velocity over the past 15 days.