FanDuel Price: $2,700
Justin Smoak is in the same boat as Castro in that he's facing a pitcher who induces an annoying number of ground balls. Still, when his price refuses to budge and he's hitting as well as he has this year, he warrants consideration.
Smoak has always had quality batted-ball stats against righties, but things are looking even better early this year. His hard-hit rate is a jaw-dropping 50.0%, and it comes with a 4.8% soft-hit rate. Smoak's 38.1% fly-ball rate figures to play well in a park as dinger-friendly as Yankee Stadium, even if Ivan Nova is killing worms left and right.
We obviously need to consider Nova's disgusting ground-ball rate, but we can't overlook that his strikeout rate is 8.6% against lefties over the past two years. Even with a 69.4% ground-ball rate this year, lefties are still making hard contact 30.6% of the time. We don't like Smoak as much as we would against a low-strikeout, fly-ball pitcher, but when the strikeouts are this low, the upside he brings will be more than enough.