NBA
NBA Playoffs: First-Round Matchup Projections
Here's how our algorithms see the first-round matchups of the 2018 NBA Playoffs playing out.

(1) Houston Rockets vs. (8) Minnesota Timberwolves

The Houston Rockets (65-17) had the best win-loss record, nERD (72.2), margin of victory (8.48), and offensive rating (114.7) in the entire NBA this season, so you can expect our projections to favor them pretty highly in just about any series. The defending champion Golden State Warriors are still the team to beat this postseason until proven otherwise, but for now, the road to the NBA Finals goes through Houston in the Western Conference.

The Minnesota Timberwolves (47-35), their first-round opponent, are not your typical 8 seed, but even their ninth-ranked nERD (57.5) isn't enough to make them feel like a legitimate threat to topple the Association's top team in Round 1.

Outcome(1) Houston Rockets(8) Minnesota Timberwolves
Win in 412.63%2.26%
Win in 525.31%
4.26%
Win in 617.54%9.89%
Win in 719.62%8.49%
Win series75.10%
24.90%
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