NBA
NBA Playoffs: First-Round Matchup Projections
Here's how our algorithms see the first-round matchups of the 2018 NBA Playoffs playing out.

(2) Golden State Warriors vs. (7) San Antonio Spurs

The Golden State Warriors (58-24) are on the hunt for their third title in four years, but their path through the Western Conference is looking harder than ever this time around. Not only have the Houston Rockets leapfrogged them for the conference's top seed, but the Dubs also have to face the San Antonio Spurs (47-35) -- a team that's usually looming as a threat in the Western Conference Finals -- in the very first round.

The Spurs are mired in a Kawhi Leonard controversy and just failed to reach 50 wins (or a lockout equivalent) for the first time since 1997, but they're still our eighth-ranked team by nERD (58.6), and a Gregg Popovich-coached team is always going to put up a fight.

Outcome(2) Golden State Warriors(7) San Antonio Spurs
Win in 48.42%3.88%
Win in 519.10%7.10%
Win in 616.64%13.62%
Win in 719.74%
11.50%
Win series63.90%
36.10%
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