NBA
NBA Playoffs: First-Round Matchup Projections
Here's how our algorithms see the first-round matchups of the 2018 NBA Playoffs playing out.

(3) Portland Trail Blazers vs. (6) New Orleans Pelicans

The Portland Trail Blazers (49-33) finished just one single game ahead of the New Orleans Pelicans (48-34) in the standings, and the Pelicans barely edged out the Blazers 54.9 to 54.2 in nERD to rank them 10th and 11th, respectively, in our year-end power rankings. Either way you slice it, these two teams are statistically very similar, and our projection for the series bears that out.

Outcome(3) Portland Trail Blazers(6) New Orleans Pelicans
Win in 45.30%5.89%
Win in 514.13%9.99%
Win in 613.83%18.79%
Win in 719.53%
12.54%
Win series52.79%
47.21%
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