Finally, we get to the real upsets.

11 seed Xavier was on a cold streak to end the season, but the Musketeers had a 43.33 percent win probability against Maryland on Thursday. Xavier was in control for most of the first half, but Maryland swooped in to take the lead before the half and even extended it to six in the opening minutes of the second half.

With their win probability down to 22.59 percent, Xavier stabilized after the break and used a 14-0 run to put a serious gap between the two. Xavier held a strong lead the rest of the way to score the upset over the Terps.