Most likely seed: 2 (79.91%)
In the section on the Lions, we mentioned that they had a shot at winning the 2 seed. They're relative longshots there partly because the Falcons are such overwhelming favorites to join the Dallas Cowboys with a first-round bye.
Right now, the Falcons have 79.91% odds of being the 2 seed. They can lock it up with a win, but even if they lose, they still have a shot at resting the following week.
| Seed | Odds With a Loss |
|---|---|
| 2 | 17.75% |
| 3 | 53.61% |
| 4 | 28.64% |
The two events they'd need to transpire in order to get the 2 seed with a loss would be a win for the Packers and a loss for the Seahawks. If the Lions win and the Seahawks lose, the Falcons will be the 3 seed. If both the Lions and Seahawks win, then the Falcons would fall to the 4 seed.