Playoff Odds: 59.49% | Division Odds: 40.95%
The Lions may not have many routes to the playoffs, but they sure as shooting do have a ton of different possibilities for what seed they could be. Let's start with the basic before digging into the specifics.
As mentioned in the section on Green Bay, the Packers have 59.05% odds of winning Sunday's showdown for the division crown. If that goes down, the Lions need a loss by Washington to make it, and that's projected to happen 31.39% of the time.
Understanding the paths to the playoffs are easy; it's actually getting those specific events to unfold that may prove more difficult, thus the relatively-low playoff odds at 59.49%.
If the Lions win, they'll be the NFC North champs, thus securing at least one home game in the playoffs. Here are their seeding odds under the assumption they defeat the Packers.
| Seed | Odds With Win |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.00% |
| 2 | 7.34% |
| 3 | 39.80% |
| 4 | 52.85% |
To snag a first-round bye, the Lions need to win and have both the Seahawks and Atlanta Falcons lose. They'll be the 3 seed with a win and a loss by either the Seahawks or Falcons, and they'll be a 4 seed if both of those teams win.
Things are far less complex if the Lions lose. If Washington wins, the Lions are out of the playoffs. If Washington loses, then the Lions will be the 6 seed.