For those of you who are unaware, Levine Toilolo plays tight end for the Falcons. He has never been fantasy-relevant and rarely used as an offensive weapon.
In Atlanta's two postseason games, Toilolo has been in the game on 76% of the snaps, but has only touched the ball on 3% of those plays. His tight end teammate, Austin Hooper, has played 57% of the snaps and has touched the ball 4% of those plays.
Toilolo has caught more than 1.5 passes in just 3 of 18 games this season, which is about 16% of the time. The moneyline of -190 indicates about a 65% chance of it going under, while his season stats have gone under about 84% of the time.
Our algorithm only projects him to catch 0.69 passes.
In 13 of his 18 games this season, he was targeted once or less. While you have to bet more with the -190 juice, the historical stats indicate this is a solid value bet.