Lamar Miller squandered a great chance in 2016, and it's hard to forget. Drafted as the RB4 in 12-team PPR leagues, Miller finished as the RB19 on the season and 17th in PPR points per game among players with at least eight games played.

And, look, he was bad. Even compared to his teammates, he was bad. Miller produced a Rushing NEP per carry of -0.07 when excluding fumbles (the NFL average was 0.01, same as Houston Texans backs not named "Lamar Miller"). His Rushing Success Rate was just 34.83%; other Texans backs increased NEP on 42.86% of their carries -- even behind a troubled offensive line.

Miller's ADP is a much more reasonable 3.02 overall (RB13), and he was banged up last year, as well. The offensive line still has concerns (and ranks 29th per ProFootballFocus entering the year), but Miller's volume -- unless D'Onta Foreman cuts into his workload -- is tough to find anywhere past the third round.

Foreman showed up to camp out of shape and had off-field issues (which he seems mostly cleared of, in fairness), but Miller's biggest competition hasn't done himself any favors. Houston also draws the 26th-toughest rushing schedule, according to our metrics.