FanDuel Price: $4,900
numberFire Projection: 10.67 FanDuel points
The Miami Dolphins are priced at $5,100 and are sure to be a popular pick as they play the New York Jets. However, the New England Patriots are priced similarly and may offer more upside, particularly with a lower ownership percentage.
The Patriots host the Houston Texans and are listed as a 13.5-point favorite, the largest spread in Week 3. While New England's defense has been anything but impressive through two weeks -- they rank as the second worst, per our metrics -- they square off against a rookie quarterback and should benefit from positive game script this weekend.
The Texans offense also hasn't been very good -- they rank as the third worst through two weeks, per numberFire metrics. Their offensive line hasn't been helpful to either Tom Savage or Deshaun Watson, allowing the most sacks in the league (13) and the second-most quarterback hits (18).
Playing in a positive game script, the Patriots defense may finally start generating sacks and turnovers against Watson. At a reduced ownership, they make for a nice Week 3 play.