DraftKings Price: $4,500

Projected Points: 12.7

Projected Value (points per $1,000): 2.82

It's certainly reasonable if you see a matchup with the Jacksonville Jaguars and want to run far, far away from any Tennessee Titans players. I get it. The Jags' D is daunting. Instead of running, however, let's look at how this game might play out and who stands to benefit the most.

Jacksonville is currently a 9.0-point favorite, the second-biggest spread in the league. As such, it is reasonable to expect them to get out in front early and rely on their defense to run out the clock, much like they did in last week's win against the New England Patriots. It's no surprise that Patriots running back James White led the team in targets last week.

If we reasonably expect the Titans to be behind this game, then they aren't going to be pounding the ball with Derrick Henry; they'll be looking to get Dion Lewis involved in the passing game.

Lewis was on the field for 71% of the Titans' offensive snaps in Week 1 compared to just 29% for Henry. Week 2 was even more striking. Though the split was closer at 58% to 42%, and Henry out-touched Lewis 18-15, the Titans were up 14-0 early, so one might have expected Henry to see a bigger load.

This week is shaping up to be a week to pay up at the running back position. However, there are a few value options available. Despite the tough matchup, Dion Lewis is one of the best options under $5,000. Our models have Lewis finishing with 12.7 DraftKings points, which would return a value of 2.82 points per $1,000.