DraftKings Price: $5,700
Projected Points: 20.3
Projected Value (points per $1,000): 3.56
This week's game between the New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons may not have the insane 56-point total of the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs game, but 53.5 isn't too shabby in its own rights. Vegas is expecting plenty of scoring, and our models indicate that Matt Ryan will be a big part of that.
Ryan was pedestrian in the Falcons' Week 1 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles, but he was responsible for four touchdowns -- two on the ground -- in last week's 31-24 win over the Carolina Panthers. His 31.68 DraftKings points were good for sixth in the league in Week 2, though he couldn't quite touch the fantasy heroics of fellow NFC South quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick -- few can.
Ryan scored just 25.06 combined points in the Falcons' two matchups against New Orleans in 2017, which could give pause to those who like to make projections solely based on prior seasons. We've seen, however, that the Saints' passing defense should not be revered this season.
The Saints are ranked 31st in our pass defense rankings and are also 31st against the pass in DVOA. They might turn that around as the season progresses, but our models indicate that will not be the case this Sunday.
We have Ryan projected for 284.5 passing yards, 2.1 touchdowns, and 20.3 DraftKings points this week, implying a return of 3.56 points per $1,000. For those looking to save cap space at the quarterback position, Ryan should be high on your list.