DraftKings Price: $5,700

Projected Points: 19.52

Projected Value (points per $1,000): 3.42

Russell Wilson has been on a solid run to end the season averaging 19.3 DraftKings points since Week 12. Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks will be on the road, where he’s been a slightly better fantasy play, averaging 20.6 DraftKings points in 8 games.

The opening odds had the matchup against the Dallas Cowboys tied for lowest on the four game slate with a 41.5 over-under total. Early week betters have bet the total up 1.5 points across a variety of sports book - currently FanDuel sports book has it at 42 with juice on the over. The contest in Jerry World is one of two games to have early movement on the total. With the spread hardly budging, all signs point for this to be a potential tight, back and forth shootout.

Wilson has been a solid playoff performer, throwing for two touchdowns or more in four of his last five playoff games. Russ might not have favorable odds to hit the passing bonus, but that wouldn’t be any different than this season where he’s only topped 300 yards once. Given the short slate though, he’s the third on passing yardage in our projections among quarterbacks. More importantly, Wilson can gain ground on lack of passing yards with his scrambles, where he’s averaged 5.3 rush attempts in the last four games.

In their perfect scenario, the ‘Hawks win this game through their rushing attack. However, on paper the matchup is not as favorable for the Seahawks run game with the Dallas Cowboys having one of the best defensive line units. According to Football Outsiders, the ‘Boys are the third ranked unit in adjusted line yards. This could be tough sledding for Chris Carson and co., forcing the Seahawks’ hands into letting Russ loose.

Wilson is numberFire’s top value quarterback in the Wildcard round with 19.52 projected points.