Another young quarterback makes the list, as the public perception is more optimistic than the math suggests it should be.

There are actually reasons to expect big things from Teddy Bridgewater, but drafting him as the 13th quarterback off the board is a bit much.

He's projected to finish as the QB19 this season and to tally 3,753.1 yards on a fairly hefty 546.6 attempts. He might flirt with 20 touchdowns (he's projected for 20.9), but he's also expected to throw 16.3 interceptions.

Bridgewater also compares to the 2004 season from David Carr (the top comparison for Winston), but that year is the third-most similar to Bridgewater's 2015. The top? A nice name -- Cam Newton -- in a bad season: 2014.

Bridgewater has a high ceiling if he can reach it, according to our confidence intervals, but investing in him, our 19th-best fantasy quarterback, before Eli Manning and Philip Rivers (based on current ADP) probably isn't the right call this year.